As 2025 approaches, Ukraine will need to take significant diplomatic steps amid not only the ongoing aggression from Russia but also a shifting international landscape.
This was stated by Stefan Wolf, a professor of international security at the University of Birmingham, in an article for The Conversation. He added that a key factor during this period will be Donald Trump's potential return to the White House. His administration could drastically alter the balance of power, posing a serious challenge for Ukraine. Trump's position on the war in Ukraine remains unclear, but he has already indicated a desire to end the conflict, albeit without specific plans for a peaceful resolution.
At the same time, Brussels has confirmed new sanctions against Russia. However, the prospect of negotiations with Russia facilitated by Trump raises significant doubts within the EU. Leaders are concerned that any agreement might merely give Putin time to regroup and intensify his offensive.
Putin, for his part, believes in victory and claims success for Russia in Ukraine. He has also announced new investments in the military, emphasizing that Russia is prepared for a prolonged struggle. The Kremlin is determined to continue the war until its objectives are achieved. For Ukraine, the situation appears complex.
"As we move closer to 2025 and Trump 2.0, Zelensky has few good options and limited reliable allies. The best Ukraine can hope for is to buy time. Zelensky will need to calm Trump. He must be open to the idea of negotiations with Russia while avoiding a withdrawal from the front line until a ceasefire can be reached," Wolf noted.
Source: theconversation.