Donald Trump claims that if elected, he will soon put an end to the war, but the realities of the conflict suggest that a quick resolution may be unattainable.
According to an Australian analytical center, the current situation on the front lines shows a gradual decrease in the pace of hostilities, as both sides prepare for winter conditions.
The war in Ukraine has been ongoing for over a year and a half, and while Russian forces are suffering significant losses, their timelines for completing objectives prevent Ukraine from fully restoring its strength. Russia is attempting to exploit the situation in hopes of a potential decrease in Western support for Kyiv. Meanwhile, Ukraine continues its resistance, demonstrating readiness for defense despite numerous challenges.
Experts note that the main factors that could influence the dynamics of the war in 2025 will include further actions by Russia, Ukrainian operations on the front, winter conditions, and political changes in the United States. Trump's return to the White House is expected to be a pivotal moment. His approaches to supporting Ukraine are ambiguous, and the perception of the conflict within the Republican camp also indicates a possible shift in U.S. policy.
Vice presidential candidate JD Vance recently expressed his pessimistic views on the situation in Ukraine, stating that the country needs more resources than the United States can provide. These sentiments reflect a growing skepticism among Republican voters regarding the feasibility of military aid to Ukraine.
Trump's rise to power will influence the future developments of the situation. If the new administration fails to achieve a swift resolution to the conflict, there is a belief that Trump may opt for a course of increasing support for Ukraine to avoid appearing weak.
However, even if the Trump administration attempts to pressure Ukraine into an unstable ceasefire, it is likely that Ukraine will decide to continue fighting without U.S. support.
Source: lowyinstitute.
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